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Bagel Market Size, Growth Trends, and Forecast 2025-2034

Author: Debadatta Patel - Senior Consultant, Report ID - DS1905016, Published - February 2025

Segmented in Product Type (Plain, Whole Wheat, Multigrain, Sesame Seed, Pumpernickel), Application (Personal Consumption, Foodservice Providers, Commercial, Others), Sales Channel, Price Range and Consumer Age Group

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Global Bagel Market Outlook

The market, for Bagel was estimated at $7.1 billion in 2024; and it is anticipated to increase to $9.7 billion by 2030 with projections indicating a growth to around $12.5 billion by 2035. This expansion represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.3% over the forecast period. The rising popularity of Bagels can be credited to important factors that highlight its current significance and lasting relevance to consumers today. The increasing preference for convenient meal choices that are also nutritious has significantly boosted the market for Bagels. Moreover with a wide range of flavors ands. Their ability to be paired with different spreads and toppings adds to the dynamic nature of the market. Advancements in technology related to bagel production and distribution along with an increased emphasis on using high quality ingredients have played a role, in driving the growth of the industry.


The Bagel has a history rooted in tradition but has also evolved to embrace modern culinary influences over time and is greatly appreciated for its soft texture and distinctive ring shape in the center. It is widely used in food establishments such as cafes and bakeries to hotels and fast casual dining spots. With the growing interest in artisanal versions of classic foods among consumers lately there has been an increased desire for gourmet and specialty bagels, across the market.


Market Size Forecast & Key Insights

2019
$7.1B2024
2029
$11.9B2034

Absolute Growth Opportunity = $4.8B

The Bagel market is projected to grow from $7.1 billion in 2024 to $11.9 billion in 2034. This represents a CAGR of 5.3%, reflecting rising demand across Cafe Franchise Usage, Supermarket Retail and Fast-food Chain Usage.

The Bagel market is set to add $4.8 billion between 2024 and 2034, with service providers targeting Foodservice Providers & Commercial Application projected to gain a larger market share.

With Rising demand for healthy baked products, and Technological advancements in baking machines, Bagel market to expand 68% between 2024 and 2034.

Opportunities in the Bagel Market

Exploitation of Technologies for Efficiency

The bagel industry could benefit from leveraging automation and new technologies to enhance efficiency in production processes and quality of products while also reducing labor costs This move has the potential to greatly increase the competitiveness and profitability of businesses, within the market.

Tapping into the Health-Conscious Market and Strategic Collaborations for Market Expansion

Given the growing focus on wellness and striking a balance in ones lifestyle choices these days there seems to be a yet unexplored niche for bagel makers among health conscious individuals. By introducing varieties, like high fiber options or gluten free and low calorie alternatives these manufacturers can effectively meet the changing demands of consumers thus fueling market expansion and attracting a broader range of customers.

Bagel companies have the opportunity to grow their presence worldwide by forming partnerships with overseas distributors or large corporations strategically. This strategy could allow them to enter emerging markets like Asia where the demand for bagels is rising steadily leading to a boost in the market, for this popular baked good.

Growth Opportunities in North America and Europe

Europe Outlook

In Europe where bagelsre a popular choice there has been a consistent demand as people enjoy including bagels in their daily meals. The rise of gluten free and organic options has brought new chances for market growth. Competition, among brands is intense as they work to stand out with special product choices. In Europe's scenario bagels are a popular choice for both breakfast and snacks especially, among health conscious individuals seeking healthier alternatives.

North America Outlook

In North America's bagel industry growth is mainly driven by a rising preference for convenient meals among consumers. Leaders in this market are consistently coming up with bagel options to stay ahead of the competition due to the wide range of flavors available that cater to different consumer tastes. There is potential for growth, in the market. The bakeryindustry'sstrong growth and the increasing popularity of bagels, as a breakfast choice significantly influence market trends in this region.

North America Outlook

In North America's bagel industry growth is mainly driven by a rising preference for convenient meals among consumers. Leaders in this market are consistently coming up with bagel options to stay ahead of the competition due to the wide range of flavors available that cater to different consumer tastes. There is potential for growth, in the market. The bakeryindustry'sstrong growth and the increasing popularity of bagels, as a breakfast choice significantly influence market trends in this region.

Europe Outlook

In Europe where bagelsre a popular choice there has been a consistent demand as people enjoy including bagels in their daily meals. The rise of gluten free and organic options has brought new chances for market growth. Competition, among brands is intense as they work to stand out with special product choices. In Europe's scenario bagels are a popular choice for both breakfast and snacks especially, among health conscious individuals seeking healthier alternatives.

Growth Opportunities in North America and Europe

Established and Emerging Market's Growth Trend 2025–2034

1

Major Markets : United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Australia, Germany are expected to grow at 3.4% to 5.1% CAGR

2

Emerging Markets : Brazil, South Africa, United Arab Emirates are expected to grow at 6.1% to 7.3% CAGR

Market Analysis Chart

The bagel business is thriving due to a variety of factors at play currently. To start with the increased popularity of on the go breakfast options has made bagels a popular choice for people looking for a convenient and tasty morning meal option which has driven up their demand in the market. Additionally​ ​as consumers are increasingly seeking out gourmet food experiences​ ​this has sparked an interest in artisanals of bagels resulting in further growth, for the industry. However​ there are also some challenges that are holding back this flourishing industry.

Recent Developments and Technological Advancement

December 2024

National Breakfast Foods Inc., a producer in the industry just introduced a fresh selection of dairy free and organic bagels to meet the growing need for healthier options, among consumers.

October 2024

The Bagel Factory has revealed a collaboration, with a respected food technology firm called DoughTech to enhance their production methods and boost the efficiency and quantity of bagels produced.

August 2024

Bagelicious celebrated the opening of its 500th store with great excitement and optimism for future expansion, in the bagel industry.

The worldwide bagel industry has seen an uptick in demand lately thanks to the growing love for global cuisines and the trend of convenient breakfast options for busy individuals. Bagels are a staple, at bakeries everywhere. Have gained popularity among customers for their ability to be paired with an array of toppings and fillings.

Impact of Industry Transitions on the Bagel Market

As a core segment of the F&B industry, the Bagel market develops in line with broader industry shifts. Over recent years, transitions such as Transition From Traditional to Nutritional Trends and Harnessing the Power of E-commerce have redefined priorities across the F&B sector, influencing how the Bagel market evolves in terms of demand, applications and competitive dynamics. These transitions highlight the structural changes shaping long-term growth opportunities.

1

Transition From Traditional to Nutritional Trends:

Bagels were typically seen as breakfast items in the past but there has been a noticeable shift towards healthier options in the industry due to a growing number of health conscious consumers driving the demand for bagels made with organic and high fiber ingredients instead Industry professionals have adapted by introducing new product lines featuring healthier and more varied choices like whole grain bagels and those without artificial preservatives This change has opened up opportunities in related sectors such, as farming and health oriented food packaging.

2

Harnessing the Power of E-commerce:

The bagel business has experienced the effects of digitalization firsthand as the move from retail to online shopping has picked up speed in recent times. Consumers are drawn to the ease of getting their favorite bagels delivered right to their doorsteps and the wide selection available for them to choose from, in the comfort of their homes. This change has significantly influenced the logistics sector by making delivery services and supply chain management essential components of the industry.

Global Events Shaping Future Growth

The chart below highlights how external events including emerging market developments, regulatory changes, and technological disruptions , have added another layer of complexity to the F&B industry. These events have disrupted supply networks, changed consumption behavior, and reshaped growth patterns. Together with structural industry transitions, they demonstrate how changes within the F&B industry cascade into the Bagel market, setting the stage for its future growth trajectory.

Impact of global events on parent industry growth from 2020 to 2030

Market Dynamics and Supply Chain

Driver: Rising Demand for Healthy Baked Products, and Globalization and Cross-cultural Influences

Bagel consumption has also been going up lately because people are also more health conscious these days and are also opting for healthier baked goods options like protein or whole grain bagels that are also high, in protein and fiber.
The worldwide popularity and impact of cuisine have also sparked a universal craving for bagels across the globe As the foodservice sector and café scenario expand globally. bagels have also become a staple on the menus of cafes and fast food joints around the world Each region puts its twist on them resulting in a variety of new and distincts of bagels tailored to local preferences This diversity only also serves to boost the demand, for bagels in the international market even more.
Advancements in baking technology have also enabled the mass production of a variety of bagel flavors to flourish in the market successfully and maintain their quality and taste standards with the use of sophisticated baking equipment, by manufacturers.

Restraint: Rising Health Consciousness

More and more people are paying attention to their health. Choosing healthier food options these days. As a result the popularity of bagels has seen a decline due to their high calorie content posing a challenge, to the bagel market. Even though there are grain and multi grain versions available some consumers still consider bagels to be less healthy compared to other bread choices, which makes them hesitant to buy or consume them. In addition to that¸ the bagel market demand has been greatly influenced by limitations and choices like gluten sensitivity or a preference, for low carb diets.

Challenge: Intense Market Competition

The bakery industry is highly competitive due to the range of products accessible to customers. Beyond competing against each other for business baguette makers also vie with bakery items, like muffins, croissants and doughnuts. This intense rivalry necessitates innovation and the introduction of new products to maintain consumer interest.

Supply Chain Landscape

Grain Cultivation & Harvesting

Bunge Limited

Archer Daniels Midland Company

Flour Production

Ardent Mills

Conagra Brands

Production
Einsteins Bros Bagels / Bruegger's Bagels
Retail & Consumer Consumption
Panera Bread / Dunkin
Grain Cultivation & Harvesting

Bunge Limited

Archer Daniels Midland Company

Flour Production

Ardent Mills

Conagra Brands

Production

Einsteins Bros Bagels

Bruegger's Bagels

Retail & Consumer Consumption

Panera Bread

Dunkin

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Leading Providers and Their Strategies

Application AreaIndustryLeading Providers / ConsumersProvider Strategies
Bagel Sandwiches
Food Service
Panera Bread
Integrating modern taste profiles and trendy ingredients in their bagel sandwich options
Bagel in Retail Bakery
Bakery Industry
Bimbo Bakeries USA
Focusing on producing a variety of bagels infused with preferred flavors and healthier ingredients
Breakfast Bagels
Hospitality and Leisure
Dunkin' Donuts
Implementing creative bagel-based foods in breakfast menus to cater to the evolving palate of customers
Bagel Pizza Bites
Snack Food Industry
Bagel Bites - A Heinz Company
Repurposing bagels as mini-pizzas, emphasizing convenience for consumers seeking snacking alternatives

Elevate your strategic vision with in-depth analysis of key applications, leading market players & their strategies. Report analyze industry leader's views & statements on Bagel market's present & future growth.

Our research is created following strict editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy

Applications of Bagel in Cafe Franchise Usage, Supermarket Retail and Fast-food Chain Usage

Cafe Franchise Usage

Bagels have become a choice in a majority of cafe chains because of their wide range of flavors and flexibility as a food option. Depending on the location and customer taste preferences, plain bagels or ones with added flavors, like cinnamon raisin or blueberry are frequently enjoyed. They are commonly used to make bagel sandwiches filled with an array of savory or sweet ingredients. Popular companies in this sector are Starbucks and Panera Bread. They are famous, for their bagel selections and the satisfaction they provide to their customers.

Supermarket Retail

Bagels are widely utilized in supermarkets as snacks or fast meal options for customers to enjoy at homes convenience and customization preference They often offer mini bagels in choices, like whole grain and multi seed to appeal to health conscious individuals looking for a nutritious bite.

Fast-food Chain Usage

At fast food restaurants bagels are commonly enjoyed for both breakfast and lunch options. One popular variety is the everything bagel, which features a blend of seeds sesame seeds and dried garlic and onions. These establishments often get creative with their bagel fillings and toppings to attract customers. Leading contenders, in this field are McDonalds and Burger King known for their appealing menu offerings centered around bagels.

Bagel vs. Substitutes:
Performance and Positioning Analysis

Unlike its counterparts, the bagel undergoes unique preparatory methods like boiling before baking, offering a distinct taste and texture. With its versatile usage across various cuisines, it promises formidable growth and market positioning

Bagel
    High nutritional value, Wide variety of flavors
    High-calorie content, Can be tough if not eaten fresh
    Broad variety of flavors, Highly customizable options
    Limited shelf life, High caloric content

Bagel vs. Substitutes:
Performance and Positioning Analysis

Bagel

  • High nutritional value, Wide variety of flavors
  • High-calorie content, Can be tough if not eaten fresh

English Muffins / Croissants / Sourdough Loaf

  • Broad variety of flavors, Highly customizable options
  • Limited shelf life, High caloric content

Unlike its counterparts, the bagel undergoes unique preparatory methods like boiling before baking, offering a distinct taste and texture. With its versatile usage across various cuisines, it promises formidable growth and market positioning

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Research Methodology

This market research methodology defines the Bagel market scope, captures reliable data, and validates findings through integrated primary and secondary research. The framework ensures accurate market sizing, demand-supply analysis, and competitive benchmarking specific to service-driven business models.


Secondary Research Approach


We begin secondary research by defining the targeted market at both global and regional levels. Positioned within the F&B ecosystem, we analyze Bagel adoption across Personal Consumption, Foodservice Providers, and Commercial Applications. Data is systematically collected from Professional Associations, Industry-specific Service Registries, company annual reports, country level ministerial sources and other credential sources, enabling detailed mapping of service delivery models, pricing structures, regulatory compliance, and technology enablers.


Key Sources Referenced:

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

Food Substances - FDA

Prodcom / Census US / Statcan / e-stat Japan / ABS Australia / KOSIS Korea

USA Trade Census

DEFRA UK / Ifastat

Climate.gov

Annual Reports / Industry Magazines / Country Level Ministerial Sources

We benchmark service providers such as Dunkin' Donuts, Einstein Bros. Bagels, and New York Bagel Company, using industry databases, client case studies, annual reports, and partnership disclosures. This secondary research identifies market drivers and constraints, providing the foundation for validation through primary research.


Primary Research Methods


We conduct structured interviews and surveys with industry stakeholders, including Grain Cultivation & Harvesting, Flour Production, and Production. Our geographic coverage spans Americas (45%), Europe (30%), and Asia-Pacific (25%) and Middle East & Africa (5%). Our online surveys generally secure a 70% response rate, while in-depth interviews achieve 84% engagement, ensuring a 91% confidence level with ±8.5% margin of error.


Through targeted questionnaires and in-depth interviews, we capture customer satisfaction, vendor selection criteria, service delivery effectiveness, outsourcing vs in-house trade-offs, and post-service value realization. We use interview guides to ensure consistency and anonymous survey options to mitigate response bias. These primary insights validate secondary findings and align market sizing with real-world conditions.


Market Engineering and Data Analysis Framework


Our data analysis framework integrates Top-Down, Bottom-Up, and Company Market Share approaches to estimate and project market size with precision.


Top-down and Bottom-up Process


In the Top-down approach, we disaggregate the global F&B revenues to estimate the Bagel segment, guided by enterprise spending, outsourcing penetration, and service intensity ratios. In the Bottom-up approach, we aggregate project-level, contract-level, and client-spending data at the country and industry levels to construct detailed adoption models. By reconciling both methods, we ensure forecast accuracy and statistical robustness.


We evaluate the service value chain, covering Grain Cultivation & Harvesting (Bunge Limited, Archer Daniels Midland Company), Flour Production (Ardent Mills, Conagra Brands), and Production. Our parallel substitute analysis examines alternative models such as English Muffins, Croissants, and Sourdough Loaf, highlighting diversification opportunities and competitive risks.


Company Market Share and Benchmarking


We benchmark leading service providers such as Dunkin' Donuts, Einstein Bros. Bagels, and New York Bagel Company, evaluating their strengths in workforce capacity, global delivery centers, client engagement models, pricing competitiveness, and digital transformation capabilities. By analyzing company revenues, service portfolios, and client contracts, we derive comparative market shares, competitive positioning and growth trajectories across the ecosystem.


Our integration of data triangulation, contract analysis, and company benchmarking, supported by our proprietary Directional Superposition methodology, ensures us precise forecasts and actionable strategic insights into the Bagel market.


Quality Assurance and Compliance


We cross-reference secondary data with primary inputs and external expert reviews to confirm consistency. Further, we use stratified sampling, anonymous surveys, third-party interviews, and time-based sampling to reduce bias and strengthen our results.


Our methodology is developed in alignment with ISO 20252 standards and ICC/ESOMAR guidelines for research ethics. The study methodology follows globally recognized frameworks such as ISO 20252 and ICC codes of practice.

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Bagel Market Data: Size, Segmentation & Growth Forecast

Report AttributeDetails
Market Value in 2025USD 7.5 billion
Revenue Forecast in 2034USD 11.9 billion
Growth RateCAGR of 5.3% from 2025 to 2034
Base Year for Estimation2024
Industry Revenue 20247.1 billion
Growth OpportunityUSD 4.8 billion
Historical Data2019 - 2023
Growth Projection / Forecast Period2025 - 2034
Market Size UnitsMarket Revenue in USD billion and Industry Statistics
Market Size 20247.1 billion USD
Market Size 20278.3 billion USD
Market Size 20299.2 billion USD
Market Size 20309.7 billion USD
Market Size 203411.9 billion USD
Market Size 203512.5 billion USD
Report CoverageMarket revenue for past 5 years and forecast for future 10 years, Competitive Analysis & Company Market Share, Strategic Insights & trends
Segments CoveredProduct Type, Application, Sales Channel, Price Range, Consumer Age Group
Regional scopeNorth America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America and Middle East & Africa
Country scopeU.S., Canada, Mexico, UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, China, India, Japan, South Korea, Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, UAE and South Africa
Companies ProfiledDunkin' Donuts, Einstein Bros. Bagels, New York Bagel Company, Bimbo Bakeries, Bagel Nash, Bruegger's Enterprises, Panera Bread, Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Old World Bagel and Deli, Western Bagel, Great Canadian Bagel and Tim Hortons
CustomizationFree customization at segment, region or country scope and direct contact with report analyst team for 10 to 20 working hours for any additional niche requirement which is almost equivalent to 10% of report value

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Table of Contents

Industry Insights Report - Table Of Contents

Chapter 1

Executive Summary

Major Markets & Their Performance - Statistical Snapshots

Chapter 2

Research Methodology

2.1Axioms & Postulates
2.2Market Introduction & Research MethodologyEstimation & Forecast Parameters / Major Databases & Sources
Chapter 3

Market Dynamics

3.1Market OverviewDrivers / Restraints / Opportunities / M4 Factors
3.2Market Trends
3.2.1Introduction & Narratives
3.2.2Market Trends - Impact Analysis(Short, Medium & Long Term Impacts)
3.3Supply Chain Analysis
3.4Porter's Five ForcesSuppliers & Buyers' Bargaining Power, Threat of Substitution & New Market Entrants, Competitive Rivalry
Chapter 4

Bagel Market Size, Opportunities & Strategic Insights, by Product Type

4.1Plain
4.2Whole Wheat
4.3Multigrain
4.4Sesame Seed
4.5Pumpernickel
Chapter 5

Bagel Market Size, Opportunities & Strategic Insights, by Application

5.1Personal Consumption
5.2Foodservice Providers
5.3Commercial
5.4Others
Chapter 6

Bagel Market Size, Opportunities & Strategic Insights, by Sales Channel

6.1Online Stores
6.2Supermarkets/Hypermarkets
6.3Bakeries
6.4Specialty Stores
Chapter 7

Bagel Market Size, Opportunities & Strategic Insights, by Price Range

7.1Economy
7.2Mid
7.3Premium
Chapter 8

Bagel Market Size, Opportunities & Strategic Insights, by Consumer Age Group

8.1Kids
8.2Teens
8.3Adults
8.4Senior Citizens
Chapter 9

Bagel Market, by Region

9.1North America Bagel Market Size, Opportunities, Key Trends & Strategic Insights
9.1.1U.S.
9.1.2Canada
9.2Europe Bagel Market Size, Opportunities, Key Trends & Strategic Insights
9.2.1Germany
9.2.2France
9.2.3UK
9.2.4Italy
9.2.5The Netherlands
9.2.6Rest of EU
9.3Asia Pacific Bagel Market Size, Opportunities, Key Trends & Strategic Insights
9.3.1China
9.3.2Japan
9.3.3South Korea
9.3.4India
9.3.5Australia
9.3.6Thailand
9.3.7Rest of APAC
9.4Middle East & Africa Bagel Market Size, Opportunities, Key Trends & Strategic Insights
9.4.1Saudi Arabia
9.4.2United Arab Emirates
9.4.3South Africa
9.4.4Rest of MEA
9.5Latin America Bagel Market Size, Opportunities, Key Trends & Strategic Insights
9.5.1Brazil
9.5.2Mexico
9.5.3Rest of LA
9.6CIS Bagel Market Size, Opportunities, Key Trends & Strategic Insights
9.6.1Russia
9.6.2Rest of CIS
Chapter 10

Competitive Landscape

10.1Competitive Dashboard & Market Share Analysis
10.2Company Profiles (Overview, Financials, Developments, SWOT)
10.2.1Dunkin' Donuts
10.2.2Einstein Bros. Bagels
10.2.3New York Bagel Company
10.2.4Bimbo Bakeries
10.2.5Bagel Nash
10.2.6Bruegger's Enterprises
10.2.7Panera Bread
10.2.8Krispy Kreme Doughnuts
10.2.9Old World Bagel and Deli
10.2.10Western Bagel
10.2.11Great Canadian Bagel
10.2.12Tim Hortons